Deterministic Chaos Analysis on the Procedure of System Catastrophe 事故过程的确定性混沌分析方法
After reviewing the development of accident cause theories, method for deterministic chaos analysis on the procedure of system failure is proposed. 综述了对事故致因理论的研究现状;提出了系统事故过程的确定性混沌分析方法;
Then, against the existing problems in many macroscopic models and deterministic simulations, this thesis selects the idea of microscopic simulation to simulate discrete and stochastic traffic procedure. 然后针对以往较多的宏观模型和确定性仿真存在的问题,选用微观仿真的思想来模拟离散随机的交通过程。